County electoral seat set to become key battleground

EVERY VOTE COUNTS: Totting up the polling results

EVERY VOTE COUNTS: Totting up the polling results

First published in News by

THE Mid Dorset and North Poole seat is likely to be a key battleground at next year’s general election, according to a poll carried out by Lord Ashcroft.

Held by the Liberal Democrats at the 2010 election with a majority of just 269 over the Conservatives, the peer is predicting from the poll results that it could fall to the Tories.

It was one of 17 marginal constituencies closely contested between the Tories and Lib Dems in which a telephone poll of 1,000 adults was carried out in May.

Across the battleground the poll found a 3.5 per cent swing from the Lib Dems to their coalition partners since the last general election.

Overall the research found the Conservative vote had fallen by eight points since 2010 but the Lib Dem share had fallen by nearly twice as much as many of the parties voters switch to Labour, Ukip or the Tories.

Annette Brooke, who has held the seat for the Liberal Democrats since 2001, is standing down in 2015 and candidate Vikki Slade, who aims to retain it for the party, pointed out the poll was taken during the European election campaign.

“However, we did win a district council seat in Lytchett Matravers on May 22 from the Conservatives so our vote is standing up well,” she said.

“We are now canvassing for a by-election in Colehill and the reception on the doorsteps is still very positive, so I am confident that we can retain this seat and continue the legacy of Annette Brooke through me for the next generation.”

Conservative prospective Parliamentary candidate Michael Tomlinson said: “We see it as winnable. The result was very, very close last time around. But we are not taking anything for granted.

“This is one poll. But it is very encouraging. We are going to have to carry on and work incredibly hard to ensure we win it.”

Comments (14)

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3:12pm Sat 28 Jun 14

contric says...

are any of the candidates local or are they rich kids parachuted in
are any of the candidates local or are they rich kids parachuted in contric
  • Score: 5

3:15pm Sat 28 Jun 14

muscliffman says...

Lord Ashcroft who conducted this 'poll' is a senior Tory, bear that in mind whenever reading any of his poll results.

However I am sure his poll is right about the Lib-Dems loosing this local seat in the 2015 election, in fact it would be quite remarkable (locally and nationally) if this party hold to much at all!
Lord Ashcroft who conducted this 'poll' is a senior Tory, bear that in mind whenever reading any of his poll results. However I am sure his poll is right about the Lib-Dems loosing this local seat in the 2015 election, in fact it would be quite remarkable (locally and nationally) if this party hold to much at all! muscliffman
  • Score: -26

4:38pm Sat 28 Jun 14

dvdr says...

Both the present and the prospective LibDem politicians are always desperate for the oxygen of publicity - even to the extent of touting for Broadstone centre to have a 20mph speed limit when it is virtually impossible to reach even 10mph during the day. In the evenings and nights any limit would be ignored anyway by the boy racers! But if you want your name in the paper, lobby away and hope!
Both the present and the prospective LibDem politicians are always desperate for the oxygen of publicity - even to the extent of touting for Broadstone centre to have a 20mph speed limit when it is virtually impossible to reach even 10mph during the day. In the evenings and nights any limit would be ignored anyway by the boy racers! But if you want your name in the paper, lobby away and hope! dvdr
  • Score: -26

4:49pm Sat 28 Jun 14

bh21spider says...

From where I stand, there can be only one winner. Just see how much the LibDem Cllr Vikki Slade has done for the area and how hard she works. If you want a local person and someone to represent the local people, she is the one. If you want someone to tow the party line and do what they are told, then vote Conservative.

From my experience, the Conservatives in Poole are typical of the present government and just do as their peers tell them, whether it is right for the area and people or not. The Local LibDems will fight for what is right locally.

I hope people will remember this when they cast their votes.
From where I stand, there can be only one winner. Just see how much the LibDem Cllr Vikki Slade has done for the area and how hard she works. If you want a local person and someone to represent the local people, she is the one. If you want someone to tow the party line and do what they are told, then vote Conservative. From my experience, the Conservatives in Poole are typical of the present government and just do as their peers tell them, whether it is right for the area and people or not. The Local LibDems will fight for what is right locally. I hope people will remember this when they cast their votes. bh21spider
  • Score: 18

5:27pm Sat 28 Jun 14

apm1954 says...

Save having an election liberals and tories are now the same party , shame on you liberals.
Save having an election liberals and tories are now the same party , shame on you liberals. apm1954
  • Score: 12

5:45pm Sat 28 Jun 14

Originalbabyjames says...

every lib dem in Poole voted in favour of twp gypsy sites in creekmoor. Surely people wont forget this when voting next year. I wont! They love high profile publicity and 'appear' to be all for the community, and would attend the opening of an envelope. I am not sure that two traveller sites in our small Borough was ever going to be good for Poole. At least there was one party with the guts to challenge and question on behalf of their residents.
every lib dem in Poole voted in favour of twp gypsy sites in creekmoor. Surely people wont forget this when voting next year. I wont! They love high profile publicity and 'appear' to be all for the community, and would attend the opening of an envelope. I am not sure that two traveller sites in our small Borough was ever going to be good for Poole. At least there was one party with the guts to challenge and question on behalf of their residents. Originalbabyjames
  • Score: 16

6:09pm Sat 28 Jun 14

rubberbandman5 says...

The choice is between one party that listens and gives the 78% of the voters a say on Europe and the another party that says p**s off we are staying in Europe. And have you heard Mrs Slade speak or should I say screech!
The choice is between one party that listens and gives the 78% of the voters a say on Europe and the another party that says p**s off we are staying in Europe. And have you heard Mrs Slade speak or should I say screech! rubberbandman5
  • Score: -20

9:04pm Sat 28 Jun 14

dvdr says...

bh21spider wrote:
From where I stand, there can be only one winner. Just see how much the LibDem Cllr Vikki Slade has done for the area and how hard she works. If you want a local person and someone to represent the local people, she is the one. If you want someone to tow the party line and do what they are told, then vote Conservative.

From my experience, the Conservatives in Poole are typical of the present government and just do as their peers tell them, whether it is right for the area and people or not. The Local LibDems will fight for what is right locally.

I hope people will remember this when they cast their votes.
I remember Vicki Slade, and her dramatic objections to a planning application for a rival cafe owner wanting to open another cafe nearer the centre of Broadstone than her then site. That application was granted, but later on, when she wanted to open a replacement cafe of her own also nearer the centre, at a far less suitable site, all objections she had made earlier were forgotten. Planning permission was also granted to her application, but it did show me how things can change depending upon your aims at the time. True training for any would-be politician!
[quote][p][bold]bh21spider[/bold] wrote: From where I stand, there can be only one winner. Just see how much the LibDem Cllr Vikki Slade has done for the area and how hard she works. If you want a local person and someone to represent the local people, she is the one. If you want someone to tow the party line and do what they are told, then vote Conservative. From my experience, the Conservatives in Poole are typical of the present government and just do as their peers tell them, whether it is right for the area and people or not. The Local LibDems will fight for what is right locally. I hope people will remember this when they cast their votes.[/p][/quote]I remember Vicki Slade, and her dramatic objections to a planning application for a rival cafe owner wanting to open another cafe nearer the centre of Broadstone than her then site. That application was granted, but later on, when she wanted to open a replacement cafe of her own also nearer the centre, at a far less suitable site, all objections she had made earlier were forgotten. Planning permission was also granted to her application, but it did show me how things can change depending upon your aims at the time. True training for any would-be politician! dvdr
  • Score: -3

1:09am Sun 29 Jun 14

Originalbabyjames says...

dvdr wrote:
bh21spider wrote:
From where I stand, there can be only one winner. Just see how much the LibDem Cllr Vikki Slade has done for the area and how hard she works. If you want a local person and someone to represent the local people, she is the one. If you want someone to tow the party line and do what they are told, then vote Conservative.

From my experience, the Conservatives in Poole are typical of the present government and just do as their peers tell them, whether it is right for the area and people or not. The Local LibDems will fight for what is right locally.

I hope people will remember this when they cast their votes.
I remember Vicki Slade, and her dramatic objections to a planning application for a rival cafe owner wanting to open another cafe nearer the centre of Broadstone than her then site. That application was granted, but later on, when she wanted to open a replacement cafe of her own also nearer the centre, at a far less suitable site, all objections she had made earlier were forgotten. Planning permission was also granted to her application, but it did show me how things can change depending upon your aims at the time. True training for any would-be politician!
I remember this too plus the hysterics when the cafe next to the cobblers, where Shake and bake is now, dared to put a couple of chairs outside!
[quote][p][bold]dvdr[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]bh21spider[/bold] wrote: From where I stand, there can be only one winner. Just see how much the LibDem Cllr Vikki Slade has done for the area and how hard she works. If you want a local person and someone to represent the local people, she is the one. If you want someone to tow the party line and do what they are told, then vote Conservative. From my experience, the Conservatives in Poole are typical of the present government and just do as their peers tell them, whether it is right for the area and people or not. The Local LibDems will fight for what is right locally. I hope people will remember this when they cast their votes.[/p][/quote]I remember Vicki Slade, and her dramatic objections to a planning application for a rival cafe owner wanting to open another cafe nearer the centre of Broadstone than her then site. That application was granted, but later on, when she wanted to open a replacement cafe of her own also nearer the centre, at a far less suitable site, all objections she had made earlier were forgotten. Planning permission was also granted to her application, but it did show me how things can change depending upon your aims at the time. True training for any would-be politician![/p][/quote]I remember this too plus the hysterics when the cafe next to the cobblers, where Shake and bake is now, dared to put a couple of chairs outside! Originalbabyjames
  • Score: -9

1:12pm Sun 29 Jun 14

muscliffman says...

And in a 'real' national poll today I see the three main UK political party support percentages for 2015 are currently close together in the twenties or lower thirties. By three main British Parties we now of course mean Labour, UKIP and Conservative. (The lib-dims are very understandably in single figures and as good as chucked in with the 'others'!)

Unfortunately for local Lib-dim activist/s they won't be able to manipulate elector's proper votes, but I will give myself the first thumbs down to assist here - you are welcome.
And in a 'real' national poll today I see the three main UK political party support percentages for 2015 are currently close together in the twenties or lower thirties. By three main British Parties we now of course mean Labour, UKIP and Conservative. (The lib-dims are very understandably in single figures and as good as chucked in with the 'others'!) Unfortunately for local Lib-dim activist/s they won't be able to manipulate elector's proper votes, but I will give myself the first thumbs down to assist here - you are welcome. muscliffman
  • Score: -11

5:01pm Sun 29 Jun 14

ShuttleX says...

“However, we did win a district council seat in Lytchett Matravers on May 22 from the Conservatives so our vote is standing up well,” she said. ......

Considering the hammering the LibDems got in the last election, that statement seems a bit desperate. Sort of like saying " I lost £200, but I found a £1" The simple fact is nobody trust your party. You were so keen to have power, you sold your voters down the river, just so you could sit on the gravy train for a few years. Most voters think you are a joke, and your own voters feel betrayed. Good luck getting elected on that basis.
“However, we did win a district council seat in Lytchett Matravers on May 22 from the Conservatives so our vote is standing up well,” she said. ...... Considering the hammering the LibDems got in the last election, that statement seems a bit desperate. Sort of like saying " I lost £200, but I found a £1" The simple fact is nobody trust your party. You were so keen to have power, you sold your voters down the river, just so you could sit on the gravy train for a few years. Most voters think you are a joke, and your own voters feel betrayed. Good luck getting elected on that basis. ShuttleX
  • Score: -10

5:15pm Sun 29 Jun 14

skydriver says...

The Lib/ Dems have had their day, I suggest Clegg makes the most of his position as at the next election he will not have a job, at least in politics.
And as for roaming around Downing Street again, well only as a tourist.
Bye bye Clegg and Lib\ Dems .
The Lib/ Dems have had their day, I suggest Clegg makes the most of his position as at the next election he will not have a job, at least in politics. And as for roaming around Downing Street again, well only as a tourist. Bye bye Clegg and Lib\ Dems . skydriver
  • Score: -3

6:57pm Sun 29 Jun 14

rubberbandman5 says...

A vote for UKIP is a vote to stay in Europe as witnessed at local elections recently. Anyway, what about the Green Party, they are ranked above the Lib Dems in popularity.
A vote for UKIP is a vote to stay in Europe as witnessed at local elections recently. Anyway, what about the Green Party, they are ranked above the Lib Dems in popularity. rubberbandman5
  • Score: 2

4:37pm Mon 30 Jun 14

rubberbandman5 says...

I see the Dim Libs are in a panic judging by the thumbs down I received - I love watching Dim Libs in a panic!
I see the Dim Libs are in a panic judging by the thumbs down I received - I love watching Dim Libs in a panic! rubberbandman5
  • Score: -2

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