A NEW poll shows what could happen in Dorset if a General Election was held today - and it does not make happy reading for some Conservatives.

The latest modelling from Electoral Calculus predicts a huge Labour landslide in the next General Election based on current opinion polling.

It accurate, it would deliver a far greater triumph for Labour than even the majorities achieved by Tony Blair in 1997 and 2001.

On their most likely scenario, the model predicts Labour would win 507 seats, 303 more than they achieved in 2019.

Meanwhile, the Tories would be staggeringly on just 48 seats, 307 down from their 2019 total of 365.

This would also leave the Scottish National Party (SNP) as the official opposition with 52 seats, giving Labour an overall majority of 364.

Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats would be on 19 seats, the Greens one, and none for the Reform party.

Within the margin of error of the modelling, the best-case scenario for the Tories puts them on 192 seats, while the worst put them on just 18.

For Labour, the best-case scenario is 557 seats and the worst is 369 – still enough for a majority.

If the model turns out to be a true reflection of the General Election result, it would result in several Dorsert seats changing party.

The Tories would lose half of their eights seats in the region, resulting in Labour gains in Bournemouth East, Bournemouth West, Poole and South Dorset.

This would see Tobias Ellwood, Conor Burns, Sir Robert Syms and Richard Drax no longer have spots in parliament.

The polling forecasts that the Conservatives would hold on to both New Forest seats, as well as Christchurch, North Dorset, Mid Dorset and North Poole, and West Dorset.

A spokesperson for Electoral Calculus said: "Since the government's mini-budget on 23 September, support for the Conservative party has fallen far and fast. As at 17 October, the Labour lead over the Conservatives now stands at 26pc.

"Since Labour need a lead of about 10pc for a majority, the current extraordinary lead implies a correspondingly extraordinary parliamentary majority of 364 seats.

"The Conservatives now have less than half the length of parliament to turn the polls around. But they also face economic headwinds in the short term as both family budgets and government spending are squeezed by inflation and higher interest rates.

"Debt deleveraging and higher rates may be good for the economy in the longer term, but the next election will happen before then."

Today could see the next Prime Minister of the country named as the Conservative Party leadership shifts into the next gear. Late on Sunday night Boris Johnson announced he was not standing to replace Liz Truss and make a dramatic return to Number 10.

Rishi Sunak currently leads in terms of support from Tory MPs and he is well clear of the 100 endorsement threshold required to be on the ballot.

The other candidate is Penny Mordaunt but she still needs harvest significant backing if she is going to meet the required number of backers before this afternoon’s deadline.