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Global warming left out in the cold


I HAVE to correct your correspondent Douglas Mills (Have Your Say, March 9) who tells us that “anyone who has worked out in the real world” will know that global temperatures “since 2002 have been falling and not rising”.

He implies global warming is a myth created by computer models.

Global temperatures have been depressed recently but only since early 2007 and now in 2010 they are back on the rise.

The last two months were cold in the UK but globally they were hot – the third and fourth hottest months in the UAH satellite record maintained by Prof Roy Spencer, himself a climate sceptic.

Today’s accusations of bad, even fraudulent science following the UEA ‘Climategate’ affair have emboldened sceptics and strongly swayed public opinion. Yet Climategate is a red herring. Overall it has no relevance to the science.

However, Climategate remains political dynamite. Indeed, with elections looming I see no mention of climate change in either Labour or Conservative election literature. Is this a sign of scepticism’s return? Or has climate change joined inequality of wealth, Europe and immigration – difficult issues they wish to sweep under the carpet and ignore?

Dr MARTIN RODGER, Bloxworth Road, Poole

Comments(3)

a.g.o.g. says...
9:53am Sat 13 Mar 10

Coldest Winter for 30 years in OUR World Doctor and one of the coldest recently in both Europe and Northern America too I would rather think! Not only were a lot of cold spot temperature record stations closed in recent years but tree-ring methods of determining average temperature conveniently ousted when they conflicted with the infamous Hockey Stick conclusions thrown up when satellite detection too over from the terrestrial method. Dr Teller had your measure 10 years ago and more and also the remedy for so-called Global Warming of any cause should it ever become a problem. But he was just another Scientist of course and not a Snake Oil salesman and perhaps got it wrong..I don`t think...Pass word of Fine-Ring rather agrees....

Diuglas says...
11:33am Sun 14 Mar 10

I have to comment on the spin put on Global current earth temperatures, Dr. Martin Rodger( Have your say) March 13th when he says " now in 2010 temperatures are rising again". As Prof Joad would said when confonted by by such a vague term " Well it all depends on what you mean by... rising.". Using UAH sateliite records is of no help since the methodology is new, the records not homogenous and Satellites do not measure temperatures directly.Observation
s have to be mathematically inverted to infer temperatures which then lead to a range of values.. Mears finds the current trend to be 0.090 C per decade. Spencer and Christy a smaller trend of 0.047 C per decade none of which go back long enough to establish a real trend and none of them agree with the elevated IPCC trends which now has the effrontery to defend itself by saying the temperature change in the last 100 years is significantly different from ZERO without saying what this difference is.
Prof Roy Spencer says," WHAT WE NEED ARE RELIABLE RECORDS GOING BACK AT LEAST A 100 YEARS". He is totally honest when he says records are not long enough to compare trends to reach a conclusion.. Something the UK MET office fails to say when confronted by the failure of the real world temperature trends to agree with the Hockey Stick world of Al Gore.
The flaw of the satellite observations is that they are all too recent, and are a system easily capable of taking a scientific and dispatched enough view that should Europe be buried knee deep in permafrost ice would still be capable of churning out Satellite observations that could still legally say Global temperatures were rising.
This may all sound daft and confusing to the lay person living in Europe or North America suffering the catastrophe but can still be scientifically factual since the UAH records take into account above average spikes in sea radiance like the spike that lead to the observation that overall the temperatures in 2010 were rising when it was admitted that on land January and February were colder. The radiance spike over the ocean having easily wiped out 2 of the coldest land months for the last 30 years.
So meanwhile I will stick to my own myopic observations that on balance northern hemisphere land temperatures where the western world lives and functions are most likely to stall for another 5 to 15 years against a background of rising CO2 levels which would throw the current theory of CO2 heating into total disarray while still looking forward to another long awaited barbeque summer when such a rare event arises.
Douglas Mills

a.g.o.g. says...
11:27pm Sun 14 Mar 10

Save your fuel for the Winters to come Douglas, you might well need it...You can always make BBQ`s a real rare event by serving up half-baked Climatologists instead...On skewers of course!


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